November 29, 2022. Dallas, Texas, USA. Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic (77) dribbles as Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30) runs upcourt during the second half at American Airlines Center. Required Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
- Dallas Mavericks visit Golden State Warriors on Tuesday night
- The latest edition of Doncic vs. Curry has the Mavs as the short favorite.
- Read below for Mavericks vs. Warriors predictions, odds, and player props to bet on.
The Dallas Mavericks will visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday, April 2, 2024. Tipov is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET, and the game will be nationally televised on TNT.
The Warriors are a slim 1-point favorite, with the over/under set at a total of 232.5 points. Player props are backing Dallas superstar Luka Doncic's yet another 30-plus point performance.
Let's get into the Mavericks vs. Warriors predictions as we analyze the odds and the best player props to bet on.
Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors odds
team | spread | money line | total |
---|---|---|---|
DAL Mavericks | +1.5 (-120) | -110 | 232.5 or higher (-105) |
GS Warriors | -1.5 (even) | -110 | Less than 232.5 (-115) |
Tuesday's Mavs vs. Warriors odds have both teams favorites on the money line to win at -110 (52.4% implied probability of winning).
The latest NBA Championship odds list Dallas as a top-10 favorite to win at +2200 odds, while Golden State beats a top-20 contender at +6500 odds.
Odds as of April 2, 2024 at ESPN Sportsbook. Get your ESPN Bet promo code and bet on Mavs vs Warriors.
Mavericks betting analysis
The Mavericks (45-29) enter this game as red hot after winning seven straight games to move into the No. 6 seed in the West. Dallas has won nine of its last 10 games overall and is 6-1 in its last seven road contests.
Most recently, the Mavs showed quick work against the Houston Rockets on Sunday, winning 125-107. Luka Doncic had a great performance from the beginning, scoring 22 points in the first quarter alone, achieving a record 47 points.
The MVP candidate is playing the best basketball of his career this season, averaging 34.0 points, 9.1 rebounds and 7.1 assists per game. Doncic has scored at least 30 points in eight of his last 10 games.
Doncic's co-star Kyrie Irving has also been great since joining the Mavs. The All-Star guard is averaging 25.3 points and 5.3 assists per game. Tim Hardaway Jr. (15.1 points) will space the floor as a reliable outside threat, while the center duo of Daniel Gafford and Derek Lively II will provide rim protection and rebounding.
The Mavs are a powerhouse offensively, ranking sixth in the NBA with 118.6 points per game. Impressively, Dallas has been playing well against the spread as of late, going 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games and 25-12 ATS on the road this season.
Warriors betting analysis
The Warriors (40-34) are locked into the final play-in spot in the West as the No. 10 seed in the NBA playoff bracket. Golden State has won four straight, including a 117-113 victory over the San Antonio Spurs on Saturday.
As always, Golden State lives and dies by the play of Stephen Curry. The two-time MVP leads the team in scoring with 26.6 points per game. Splash Brother's running mate, Klay Thompson, adds 17.3 points per contest and will likely enter this game despite a knee injury.
he is him ⚡️ pic.twitter.com/YNVVTjwFuU
— Golden State Warriors (@warriors) March 31, 2024
Draymond Green is a mainstay for the Warriors, leading the team in rebounds (7.3 rpg) and providing elite defense. The Warriors will need Green to be at his best against Doncic and the powerful Mavs offense.
Depth is a big concern for the Warriors. Jonathan Kuminga (16.3 points) has potential but is inconsistent and is questionable for this game due to a knee injury. Dario Saric is also absent. The Warriors are only 20th in bench scoring at 30.1 points per game.
However, the Warriors posted a solid ATS, going 41-33 overall and 25-12 on the road. However, he is only 16-21 ATS at home. The total was over in 22 of the 37 home games.
2024 NBA MVP Award Odds Tracker
Mavs vs Warriors player props
NBA player props were available for the Mavs vs. Warriors showdown, with Luka scoring the highest total of 33.5 points. Curry has a total of 26.5 points, but Irving isn't that far off with an expected score of 25.5.
player | point | rebound | assist | Three points completed |
---|---|---|---|---|
Andrew Wiggins | 12.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) | 4.5 (Ov -160 | Un +124) | off | 1.5 (Ov +140 | Un -180) |
Daniel Gafford | 11.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 7.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | off | off |
Dante Exum | 6.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 2.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 2.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) | 0.5 (Ov -160 | Un +124) |
derrick jones jr. | 7.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | 3.5 (Ov +130 | Un -166) | off | 0.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) |
draymond green | 7.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 7.5 (Ov -145 | Un +114) | 5.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) | 0.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) |
Jonathan Kuminga | 16.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 5.5 (Ov +120 | Un -150) | 2.5 (Ov +135 | Un -175) | 0.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) |
klay thompson | 17.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 3.5 (Ov +120 | Un -150) | 2.5 (Ov +150 | Un -195) | 3.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
kyrie irving | 25.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 4.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 4.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 3.5 (Ov +135 | Un -175) |
Luka Doncic | 33.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 9.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110) | 9.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110) | 3.5 (Ov -150 | Un +120) |
Maxi Kleber | off | 3.5 (Ov +130 | Un -166) | off | 0.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) |
PJ Washington | 11.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) | 5.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110) | off | 1.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110) |
steph curry | 26.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 3.5 (Ov -145 | Un +114) | 4.5 (Ov -166 | Un +130) | 4.5 (Ov -145 | Un +114) |
tim hardaway jr. | 10.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | 2.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | off | 2.5 (Ov +135 | Un -175) |
Prop odds for NBA players as of April 2, 2024 at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors Prediction
This game will come down to which superstar, Doncic or Curry, can impose his will more forcefully. The Mavs need to take advantage of the Warriors' weak inside defense by feeding Doncic in the post and forcing him to create. Defensively, Dallas will have to stick with Curry and Thompson on the perimeter.
Golden State will need classic performances from Curry and Thompson to pull off a small upset. The Warriors' best bet is to play fast, move the ball, and drop bombs from beyond 3-point range. Defensively, they need to send Doncic and an aggressive double team.
The biggest X-factor for Dallas is the health of Derek Lively II, who is questionable with a leg injury. His size and rim protection will be very valuable against the Warriors. Golden State, on the other hand, needs Kuminga to play well if he can suit up.
In the end, I'm buying the Mavs' momentum and they end up on the money line with Dallas at odds of -110. Doncic is playing at an otherworldly level right now, and I expect him to carve out the Warriors' mediocre defense. The Mavs are also 5-0 ATS in their last five games against Golden State. Why not take Dallas to the streets?
DAL vs. GSW selection:
brady torettenero
NHL and NCAAF Editor-in-Chief
Brady is the lead NHL and college football editor at Sports Betting Dime, specializing in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years of experience working in sports media and has published work on outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, and Yahoo!. Sports and Fox Sports.