Minnesota Timberwolves guard Anthony Edwards (5) talks with Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic (77) during the fourth quarter of Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals of the 2024 NBA Playoffs at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas, USA on May 28, 2024. Credit: Kevin Gairaj – USA Today Sports
- The Dallas Mavericks got a second chance to beat the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 5 on Thursday.
- Derek Lively missed Game 4 and has been upgraded to “questionable” for tonight’s Game 5.
- Check out the odds, predictions, player projections and injury report for Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves on May 30, 2024
Facing a two-game losing streak, the Minnesota Timberwolves (65-32, 33-15 home, 49-46-2 ATS) will host the Dallas Mavericks (61-37, 31-18 away, 57-41 ATS) on Thursday night at Target Center in Minneapolis in Game 5 of the 2024 Western Conference Finals. The game is scheduled to start at 7:40 PM CST/8:40 PM ET, and despite losing the first two games of the series at home, the Timberwolves are 4.5-point favorites to take the series back to Dallas.
Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves odds
| team | Spread the word | Money Line | total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Mavericks | +4.5 (-108) | +160 | Odds 209.5 (-112) |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | -4.5 (-112) | -192 | 209.5 (-108) |
The moneyline has the T-Wolves chucked at -192 and the Mavericks as road underdogs at +160 as of tonight’s series end. After the first under of the series was recorded in Game 4, the total dropped from 210.5 to 209.5, but it’s still two points higher than any of the first three games of the series, with every game seeing at least 213 points recorded.
Odds current as of May 30. Click here to download North America’s favorite sports betting app.
Minnesota’s odds to win the series have increased from +1000 to +425 after their Game 4 victory on Tuesday. The Mavericks remain the overwhelming favorites, but have dropped from -1800 to -550. The Boston Celtics have already qualified for the 2024 NBA Finals from the East and are the -290 favorite to win the NBA championship.
Timberwolves season continues
Game 4 was nearly identical to Games 1, 2 and 3, except in Minnesota. finally They held on to a fourth-quarter lead. After surrendering leads late in the first three games of the series, the Minnesota Stars pulled away for a 105-100 road victory on Tuesday. Anthony Edwards finished just shy of a triple-double with a team-high 29 points, 10 rebounds and nine assists on 11-of-25 shooting. Karl-Anthony Towns added 25 points in a stellar performance that saw him make 9-of-13 field goals and 4-of-5 three-pointers.
Meanwhile, in Dallas, the Mavs’ stars were woefully inefficient. Luka Doncic scored 28 points but made just 7 of 21 field goal attempts. Kyrie Irving finished with just 16 points on 6 of 18 shooting. As a team, Dallas shot 42 percent from the field while the Timberwolves shot 52.7 percent.
Dallas vs. Minnesota Game 5 injury report
Dallas center Derek Lively II, who missed Game 4 with a neck injury, is questionable for Thursday night’s Game 5. Luka Doncic is again questionable because of chronic knee and ankle issues, but there’s no indication he will play.
For Minnesota, Mike Conley is back on the injured list and listed as questionable with an Achilles injury that has plagued him for more than a week. Conley missed Game 5 of the series against Denver but has played in the past six games, playing at least 31 minutes in each.
DAL vs MIN Game 5 Player Props
| player | point | rebound | assist | Three-point shot success |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards (MIN) | 28.5 (Ov -100 | Ahn -120) | 7.5 (Ov +105 | Uun -125) | 6.5 (Ov -142 | U +120) | 2.5 (Ov -102 | Uv -118) |
| Daniel Gafford (DAL) | 9.5 (Ov -122 | U +102) | 6.5 (Ov -105 | U -115) | off | off |
| Derek Lively II (DAL) | 8.5 (Ov +110 | Un -130) | 6.5 (Ov +120 | Uun -142) | off | off |
| Derrick Jones Jr. (DAL) | 8.5 (Offense -102 | Under -118) | 3.5 (Ov +110 | Un -130) | off | 0.5 (Ov -198 | U +164) |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | 10.5 (Ov -112 | U -108) | 3.5 (Ov +114 | Uun -135) | off | 1.5 (Ov -105 | Wn -115) |
| Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN) | 19.5 (Ov -125 | Wn +105) | 7.5 (Ov -120 | Ahn -100) | 2.5 (Over -120 | Under -100) | 2.5 (Ov +145 | Uun -175) |
| Kyrie Irving (DAL) | 23.5 (Ov -100 | Ahn -120) | 3.5 (Ov -115 | U -105) | 4.5 (Ov +102 | Ahn -122) | 2.5 (Ov +110 | Un -130) |
| Luka Doncic (DAL) | 30.5 (Over -100 | Under -120) | 9.5 (Offense -102 | Under -118) | 8.5 (Ov -115 | U -105) | 3.5 (Ov -115 | U -105) |
| Mike Conley (MIN) | 12.5 (Ov +105 | Uun -125) | 2.5 (Ov -166 | U +140) | 5.5 (Ov -110 | Uun -110) | 2.5 (Ov +140 | Uun -166) |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | 10.5 (Ov -122 | U +102) | 4.5 (Ov +105 | Uun -125) | off | 1.5 (Ov -105 | Wn -115) |
| PJ Washington (DAL) | 12.5 (Ov -105 | U -115) | 5.5 (Ov -142 Un +120) | off | 1.5 (Ov -180 | Un +150) |
| Rudy Gobert (MIN) | 11.5 (Ov -135 | U +114) | 10.5 (Ov -142 | U +120) | off | off |
NBA player props for DAL vs MIN on May 30th from DraftKings.
Edwards scored 29 points on Tuesday night, a two-point improvement from 26.5 points in Game 4 to 28.5 points in Game 5. Doncic remains at 30.5 points. His previous 28 points marked his first game in this series without scoring 32 or more points.
Rudy Gobert remains the heavy favorite to record at least 10.5 rebounds (-142o/+120u). The Minnesota center hasn’t grabbed more than 10 rebounds in his last five games and is averaging just 8.3 rebounds against the Mavericks.
BetMGM Bonus Code DIME1500: How to claim $1,500 NHL, MLB offer
Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Game 5 Predictions
Dallas missed a golden opportunity to beat Minnesota at home on Tuesday. The Timberwolves looked dominant for much of the series, but crucial fourth-quarter plays by the Mavericks decided the first three games. Doncic has been battling knee and ankle injuries, and while his playing time hasn’t been reduced, his movements on the court are noticeably different.
I expect the series to go to at least six games, and the odds for Minnesota to win the series are +425, which is an implied win probability of just 19.05%. (If Dallas has a 65% chance of winning their home games and a 50/50 chance of winning their away games, their true win probability is 21.2%.) It’s true that no team has ever come back from a 3-0 deficit in the NBA, but that was once the case in the NHL and MLB as well, but not anymore.
Last time out, I bet Gobert would surpass that rebound total in the absence of Lively, Dallas’ playoff rebounding leader. In Game 5, I’ll flip the bet and bet Gobert will finish with 10.5 rebounds, a number he hasn’t reached since Game 6 against the Nuggets.
DAL vs MIN Match 5 Predictions:
- Timberwolves Money Line (-192)
- Timberwolves to win the series (+425)
- Gobert had less than 10.5 rebounds (+120)
Sasha Park
Editor-in-chief
Sasha was a hockey player in his youth, became a lawyer in his wayward mid-twenties and has been with SBD since 2014. His specialties are football, basketball, politics, baseball and hockey.
