Houston Rockets vs. Dallas Mavericks Predictions, Odds, Player Props (April 7)

April 4, 2024. Dallas, Texas, USA. Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic (77) celebrates during the second half of a game against the Atlanta Hawks at American Airlines Center. Required Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

• Houston Rockets and Dallas Mavericks clash in Sunday afternoon basketball action
• Latest Rockets vs. Mavs odds favor Dallas despite Luka Doncic's status being unknown
• Read below for Rockets vs. Mavericks predictions, odds, and player props for Sunday's game.

The NBA regular season is coming to a close, and the day begins with an important in-state showdown between the Houston Rockets and Dallas Mavericks.

According to BetMGM Sportsbook, the Mavericks open as moneyline favorites, while the Rockets are +underdogs. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm ET from the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. The game will be broadcast nationally on ABC.

Get into your Rockets vs. Mavs predictions as we analyze the odds and determine the best player prop bet.

Houston Rockets vs. Dallas Mavericks odds

In Sunday's NBA odds, the Mavericks are the money-line favorite (undecided) over the Rockets, giving them an implied probability of victory.

When the teams met in Houston on March 31st, the Mavericks won 125-107 as the road favorite by 4.5 points.

Odds as of April 6, 2024 at BetMGM Sportsbook. Unlock your BetMGM promo code and bet on Rockets vs Mavericks.

Rockets' playoff chances diminish

Coach Ime Udoka and the Rockets had an interesting run down the stretch, and continued their streak with an incredible straight-up (SU) record of 13 wins and 1 loss through March. They are now just a few games away from the play-in tournament, but have now lost four straight. The four losses left them four games behind the Warriors in 10th place in the NBA playoff bracket.

The current four-game slide includes recent losses to Dallas (125-107), Minnesota (113-106), Golden State (133-110) and Miami (119-104). From a betting standpoint, the Rockets enter this Western Conference matchup with a 42-33-2 record against the spread (ATS) and a 38-38-1 overall record between the over and under.

The Rockets were unable to overcome a 3.5-point deficit in their recent home loss to the Heat by 15 points. Both teams were evenly divided in the turnover battle (nine games each), and other factors such as field goal percentage (49.4% vs. 37.8%), 3-point shooting percentage (36.1% vs. 31.8%), rebounding (48 vs. 9), etc. Miami led the major statistical battles. 45).

The Rockets are a mid-major offensive team this season, ranking 16th in offensive rating with 114.0 points per 100 possessions. However, their defensive numbers are below average, allowing 112.8 points per 100 possessions (20th).

Individually, Fred VanVleet was the most productive player in the backcourt, adding 16.7 points per game and leading the team in assists (8.1 APG), steals (1.4 SPG), and blocks (0.8 BPG). Recorded. In terms of injuries, it's worth mentioning that Armen Thompson (9.2 PPG) is questionable with an ankle injury.

Mavericks try to avoid play-in tournament

Meanwhile, Dallas continues to play great basketball, winning 13 of their last 15 games. Jason Kidd's Mavericks are currently on a two-game winning streak, most recently against the Hawks (109-95) and Warriors (108-106).

Dallas is in fifth place in the West, two games behind the Los Angeles Clippers and one game behind Phoenix. If you want to bet on the Mavs long-term, you can find them at +2500 odds for the NBA Championship, the 8th shortest odds on the market.

The Dallas Mavericks are 13-2 in their last 15 games. During this period, they led the NBA in defensive rating, trailing only the Boston Celtics in net rating.

Attack power rating: 116.2 (8th place)
Defensive rating: 105.4 (1st place)
Online rating: 10.7 (2nd place)

— Grant Afseth (@GrantAfseth) April 6, 2024

In terms of game-level betting numbers, they come into this contest with a 45-32 ATS and have seen the undercash at a 42-34-1 rate.

In fact, Dallas was a 1.5-point deficit at home in their last game, which they covered with a two-point win over Golden State. The Mavericks outscored their opponents in both field goals (47.6% to 44.1%) and 3-point shooting (35.3% to 34.3%), but the Warriors outscored them in turnovers (15 to 18) and rebounds (44 to 41). was excellent.

In terms of individual effort, Luka Doncic has led the way this season. The point guard leads the team in points (33.8 PPG), rebounds (9.2 RPG), assists (9.8 APG) and steals (1.5 SPG). However, he is listed as questionable due to his knee injury.

Rockets vs Mavericks player props

DraftKings released NBA player props for the Rockets vs. Mavericks game, with Luka Doncic scoring the highest score at 30.5 points.

Prop odds for NBA players as of April 6th at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Houston Rockets vs. Dallas Mavericks Prediction

As for the Rockets vs. Mavericks prediction, I'm going to support the upset Mavs going into their home matchup with the upset Rockets. Dallas has been one of the hottest teams in the league over the past month, while Houston has completely fallen off after a stellar midseason performance.

The Mavs are still battling for a playoff spot, and the Rockets will likely be playing for pride at this point, so they'll be competing for points against the top teams in this in-state matchup. The line is 0.5 points off to the home team's side, indicating that Sharp is in agreement.

I'm also hoping for some ups and downs in this Western Conference battle. Both of these teams like to play at a fast pace, and their defensive numbers this season haven't been all that great. The Rockets are 5-1 in their last six games over cash, and that trend should continue Sunday.

HOU vs. DAL Recommendations:

• Mavericks -7.5 (-110)
• 226.5 or higher (-110)

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