Passive investing in index funds can generate returns that are about the same as the overall market. But you can do better than that by choosing stocks that are better than the average (as part of a diversified portfolio). In other words, Jungfraubahn Holding AG (VTX:JFN)'s share price is up 35% from a year ago, significantly better than the market return of around 5.0% (not including dividends) over the same period. If it can sustain that outperformance over time, investors will do very well. However, the long-term returns have been less impressive, with the stock only up 25% over the past three years.
So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the past year, to see if they have kept pace with shareholder returns.
Check out our latest analysis for Jungfraubahn Holding.
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham, in the short term the market is a voting machine, but in the long term it is a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can learn how investor attitudes to a company have changed over time.
Jungfraubahn Holding was able to grow its EPS by 161% in the last twelve months. It's fair to say that the 35% share price increase hasn't kept pace with the EPS growth. So it seems the market is less excited about Jungfraubahn Holding than before. This may be your chance.
The image below shows how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
We're pleased to report that our CEO is paid more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO pay is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow its earnings going forward. Dive deeper into its earnings by checking this interactive graph of Jungfraubahn Holding's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What will happen to the dividend?
When looking at return on investment, it is important to consider the following differences: Total shareholder return (TSR) and stock price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return delivered by a stock. Coincidentally, Jungfraubahn Holding's TSR over the past year was 39%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is primarily due to dividend payments.
different perspective
It's good to see that Jungfraubahn Holding shareholders received a total shareholder return of 39% over the last year. Of course, this includes dividends. This is better than the 6% annualized return over the past five years, suggesting that the company has performed well of late. Optimists might think that the recent improvement in TSR indicates that the business itself is improving over time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, consider the ever-present fear of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign We are considering partnering with Jungfraubahn Holding and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
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Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Swiss exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts using only unbiased methodologies, and articles are not intended to be financial advice. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take into account your objectives or financial situation. We aim to provide long-term, focused analysis based on fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest announcements or qualitative material from price-sensitive companies. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.